Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | Austin Peay Governors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.8% | 55.2% | -0.1 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.4% | 52.6% | +0.6 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Austin Peay Governors +2 (75-73). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Person * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 27 | - |
| B.J. Miller * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Kevin Baker * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Juan Davis Jr. * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Alex Hicks * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Javan Johnson | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Darian Adams | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Shawn Hopkins | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Austin Peay Governors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Averyl Ugba * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Tre' Ivory * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | - |
| Terry Taylor * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 34 | - |
| Dayton Gumm * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Chris Porter-Bunton * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Steve Harris | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Zach Glotta | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Richard Henderson | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Deyshawn Martin | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Ed Stephens | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Acoydan McCarthy | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter