Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.1% | 63.9% | +3.1 | ✓ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams +8 (66-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlin Davis * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Alex Peacock * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 23 | - |
| Nijal Pearson * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Immanuel King * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - |
| Tyler Blount * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Isaiah Gurley | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Nedeljko Prijovic | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Eric Terry | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Deris Duncan | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Reggie Miller | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Shelby Adams | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Tre'Larenz Nottingham | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prentiss Nixon * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 18 | - |
| A. Bonner * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 21 | - |
| J.D. Paige * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Raquan Mitchell * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | - |
| Nico Carvacho * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Che Bob | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 17 | - |
| Lorenzo Jenkins | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Deion James | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Robbie Berwick | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter