Model Predictions
| Model | Maine Black Bears | South Alabama Jaguars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.0% | 86.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.7% | 89.3% | +11.7 | ✓ (10.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.5% | 91.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: South Alabama Jaguars +22 (68-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Maine Black Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Calixte * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Trae Bryant * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Andrew Fleming * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Danny Evans * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | - |
| Ilija Stojiljkovic * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Celio Araujo | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Ilker Er | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Dennis Ashley | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Duncan Douglas | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Miks Antoms | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Vernon Lowndes | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Garvey Melmed | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Mitchell * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 28 | - |
| J. Ajayi * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 25 | - |
| J. Andrews * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 17 | - |
| H. McGee * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | - |
| R. Nix * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Sikes | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 15 | - |
| N. Davis | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| K. Morris | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| D. Lee | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| A.J. Caldwell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Thompson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Epps | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Pettway | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter