Model Predictions
| Model | Toledo Rockets | Akron Zips | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.0% | 23.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 76.6% | 23.4% | -6.5 | ✓ (14.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.6% | 16.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.7% | 16.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Akron Zips -21 (56-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Sanford * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 29 | - |
| N. Navigato * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 16 | - |
| M. Jackson * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Adway * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| L. Knapke | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| D. Alderson | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Roberts | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| J. Gordon IV | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| V. Harris | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Rose Jr. | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Schaffer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Akron Zips
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Utomi * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 20 | - |
| Lucas Smith * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | - |
| Jimond Ivey * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Mark Kostelac | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Eric Parrish | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Sina Gbadebo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Marquelle McIntyre | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter