Model Predictions
| Model | Bowling Green Falcons | Northern Illinois Huskies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.0% | 67.0% | +3.5 | ✓ (27.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.4% | 61.6% | +2.6 | ✓ (28.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Illinois Huskies +31 (93-62). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Turner * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Demajeo Wiggins * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Rodrick Caldwell * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Dylan Frye * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Derek Koch * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Nelly Cummings | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Daeqwon Plowden | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Antwon Lillard | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Jeffrey Uju | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Matt Fox | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Joniya Gadson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| D. Austin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Ethan Good | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northern Illinois Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Thomas * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Dante Thorpe * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 24 | - |
| Levi Bradley * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 21 | - |
| Gairges Daow * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Lacey James * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Rod Henry-Hayes | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Noah McCarty | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Anastasios Demogerontas | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Eugene German | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 21 | - |
| Owen Hamilton | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Brandon Danowski | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter