🐻⬇️🏀

Toledo Rockets 85
@
Western Michigan Broncos 81
2018-01-23

Model Predictions

Model Toledo Rockets Western Michigan Broncos Spread Result
Elo 58.7% 41.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 62.1% 37.9% - ✓
Margin 60.4% 39.6% -2.3 ✓ (1.7 off)
Pythagorean 54.3% 45.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 69.0% 31.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 69.2% 30.8% - ✓
Points Off/Def 54.9% 45.1% - ✓

Actual: Western Michigan Broncos -4 (81-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toledo Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Sanford * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 2 2 21 28 -
M. Jackson * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 0 15 22 -
N. Navigato * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 7 11 -
T. Adway * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 1 0 1 1 7 18 -
L. Knapke 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 0 7 12 -
W. Jackson 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 1 -
J. Roberts 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
D. Alderson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 1 3 -

Western Michigan Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Thomas Wilder * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 4 2 0 0 40 51 -
Josh Davis * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 2 1 11 22 -
Bryce Moore * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 3 6 -
Brandon Johnson * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 2 4 9 -
Drake LaMont * 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 5 -
Seth Dugan 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 1 0 7 17 -
Reggie Jones 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 0 9 14 -
Michael Flowers 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
Jared Printy 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

* = starter