Model Predictions
| Model | Toledo Rockets | Central Michigan Chippewas | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.8% | 47.2% | -0.6 | ✓ (10.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Central Michigan Chippewas -11 (82-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Sanford * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 28 | - |
| M. Jackson * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 15 | - |
| N. Navigato * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 23 | - |
| T. Adway * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| W. Jackson | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 15 | - |
| L. Knapke | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - |
| J. Roberts | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| D. Alderson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Central Michigan Chippewas
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Roundtree * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 34 | - |
| Cecil Williams * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 20 | - |
| David DiLeo * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Luke Meyer * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Josh Kozinski * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Kevin McKay | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 25 | - |
| Gavin Peppers | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Matt Beachler | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Matty Smith | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Corey Redman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter