Model Predictions
| Model | Central Michigan Chippewas | Kent State Golden Flashes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.3% | 30.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Kent State Golden Flashes +16 (85-69). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Central Michigan Chippewas
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David DiLeo * | 34 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | -19.1 |
| Luke Meyer * | 31 | 4-11 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 16 | -18.7 |
| Shawn Roundtree * | 29 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -7 | -16.6 |
| Cecil Williams * | 24 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | -14.4 |
| Josh Kozinski * | 23 | 4-10 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | -13.1 |
| Kevin McKay | 21 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | -4.2 |
| Matty Smith | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -4.6 |
| Gavin Peppers | 11 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | -2.6 |
| Matt Beachler | 9 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +2.3 |
| Innocent Nwoko | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.1 |
| Corey Redman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.0 |
| John McCarty | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Austin Ervin | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +1.9 |
Kent State Golden Flashes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Avery * | 39 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | +19.3 |
| Jaylin Walker * | 38 | 7-13 | 6-9 | 6-7 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 20 | +16.3 |
| Adonis De La Rosa * | 37 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 23 | +24.9 |
| Kevin Zabo * | 32 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 10 | +23.6 |
| Danny Pippen * | 20 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +13.4 |
| BJ Duling | 19 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -4.6 |
| Mitch Peterson | 12 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -8.8 |
| Desmond Ridenour | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +0.9 |
| Jonathan Nwankwo | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Ryan Bernstein | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Akiean Frederick | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
* = starter