Model Predictions
| Model | Bowling Green Falcons | Eastern Michigan Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Eastern Michigan Eagles -4 (71-75). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antwon Lillard * | 43 | 8-12 | 0-3 | 4-7 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 25 | +15.9 |
| Rodrick Caldwell * | 41 | 0-9 | 0-7 | 3-4 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +19.2 |
| Justin Turner * | 39 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 11 | +15.1 |
| Demajeo Wiggins * | 36 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 10 | +13.2 |
| Derek Koch * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -6.5 |
| Matt Fox | 31 | 6-11 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 11 | +6.2 |
| Daeqwon Plowden | 13 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -5.1 |
| Jeffrey Uju | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4.6 |
| Nelly Cummings | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -7.5 |
| Joniya Gadson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +6.3 |
Eastern Michigan Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Thompson IV * | 45 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 8-11 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 23 | -8.4 |
| Paul Jackson * | 42 | 7-16 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 10 | -15.7 |
| Elijah Minnie * | 40 | 5-10 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 10 | -6.3 |
| Tim Bond * | 40 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 12 | +1.0 |
| Jordan Nobles * | 26 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | +3.1 |
| Kevin McAdoo | 19 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | -16.3 |
| Ty Groce | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -10.2 |
| Malik Ellison | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +1.9 |
* = starter