Model Predictions
| Model | Toledo Rockets | Detroit Mercy Titans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 91.1% | 8.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 87.4% | 12.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 89.9% | 10.1% | -12.0 | ✓ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 75.0% | 25.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.4% | 8.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.4% | 8.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 74.0% | 26.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Mercy Titans -3 (86-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Sanford * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 33 | - |
| M. Jackson * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 20 | - |
| N. Navigato * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 16 | - |
| T. Adway * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 18 | - |
| L. Knapke | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 22 | - |
| D. Alderson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Roberts | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Gordon IV | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Detroit Mercy Titans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Allen * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 22 | - |
| Jermaine Jackson * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 21 | - |
| Josh McFolley * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 30 | - |
| Jaleel Hogan * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Gerald Blackshear | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| DeShawndre Black | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jack Ballantyne | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Isaiah Jones | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter