Model Predictions
| Model | San José State Spartans | Bowling Green Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.5% | 74.5% | +5.9 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Bowling Green Falcons +6 (85-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San José State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Fisher * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 18 | - |
| Noah Baumann * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Ashtin Chastain * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 20 | - |
| Jaycee Hillsman * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Isaiah Nichols * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ryan Welage | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 28 | - |
| Nai Carlisle | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 22 | - |
| Oumar Barry | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 23 | - |
| Ryan Parilla | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jalen James | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Caleb Simmons | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Turner * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 33 | - |
| Dylan Frye * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 21 | - |
| Demajeo Wiggins * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 30 | - |
| Rodrick Caldwell * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Derek Koch * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 20 | - |
| Nelly Cummings | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Matt Fox | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Daeqwon Plowden | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jeffrey Uju | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Joniya Gadson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter