Model Predictions
| Model | Niagara Purple Eagles | Massachusetts Minutemen | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.9% | 56.1% | +0.2 | ✓ (24.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 30.4% | 69.6% | +4.5 | ✓ (20.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Massachusetts Minutemen +25 (101-76). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
Niagara Purple Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kahlil Dukes * | 36 | 5-15 | 0-4 | 6-6 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Marvin Prochet * | 30 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Matt Scott * | 30 | 10-13 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 21 | - |
| Chris Barton * | 27 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Dominic Robb * | 16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Greg Kuakumensah | 15 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Greg King | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Keleaf Tate | 15 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Kevin Larkin | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kierell Green | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| James Towns | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
Massachusetts Minutemen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. Anderson * | 31 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Rayshawn Miller * | 25 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Luwane Pipkins * | 24 | 12-18 | 7-10 | 3-3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 34 | 23 | - |
| Malik Hines * | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Rashaan Holloway * | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Carl Pierre | 25 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Unique McLean | 24 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Chris Baldwin | 20 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Khalea Turner-Morris | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jaylen Franklin | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mike Gillespie | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter