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Model Predictions

Model Maine Black Bears Binghamton Bearcats Spread Result
Elo 11.5% 88.5% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 25.1% 74.9% - โœ—
Margin 28.5% 71.5% - โœ—
Pythagorean 18.2% 81.8% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 13.4% 86.6% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 13.4% 86.6% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 26.8% 73.2% - โœ—

Actual: Binghamton Bearcats -3 (73-76). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Maine Black Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Isaiah White * 34 5-11 1-4 2-2 3 1 1 1 3 13 5 +14.7
Aaron Calixte * 31 4-6 2-4 8-9 2 4 1 0 3 18 16 +5.0
Ilija Stojiljkovic * 29 1-6 0-3 1-3 12 1 1 1 2 3 10 +6.5
Vernon Lowndes Jr. * 25 2-5 0-1 1-2 3 2 1 0 4 5 2 +1.8
Andrew Fleming * 15 1-6 0-0 2-2 6 2 1 0 4 4 3 -8.2
Ilker Er 29 10-14 2-5 1-1 3 0 0 0 0 23 12 +12.8
Dennis Ashley 13 2-3 1-1 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 5 3 +0.1
Celio Araujo 10 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 2 1 0 1 2 4 +3.5
Dusan Majstorovic 10 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 1 -2.8
Danny Evans 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +3.0
Miks Antoms 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.0

Binghamton Bearcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J.C. Show * 33 6-16 2-9 6-7 3 0 4 0 3 20 8 -9.2
Thomas Bruce * 32 5-9 0-0 2-4 7 2 3 2 1 12 16 -9.5
Willie Rodriguez * 31 3-12 1-4 2-4 4 2 2 1 3 9 3 -18.8
Everson Davis * 28 3-6 0-0 2-2 4 3 1 0 2 8 8 -13.7
Tyler Stewart * 18 3-5 1-2 2-2 3 0 0 2 3 9 6 -13.1
Timmy Rose 23 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 4 1 0 2 0 1 -1.8
Fard Muhammad 12 2-5 1-4 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 5 5 +1.2
Bobby Ahearn 10 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 4 5 +3.8
Caleb Stewart 8 1-2 1-2 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 4 4 +7.8
Albert Odero 5 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

* = starter