Model Predictions
| Model | UAlbany Great Danes | UMBC Retrievers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.5% | 55.5% | +1.2 | ✓ (6.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UMBC Retrievers +8 (68-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UAlbany Great Danes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Cremo * | 36 | 8-18 | 5-10 | 4-5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 13 | - |
| Devonte Campbell * | 36 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Greig Stire * | 35 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Travis Charles * | 31 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| David Nichols * | 27 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Costa Anderson | 21 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K.J. Maura * | 38 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Joe Sherburne * | 36 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Daniel Akin * | 29 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Jairus Lyles * | 28 | 8-14 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Arkel Lamar * | 28 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Brandon Horvath | 20 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Nolan Gerrity | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jourdan Grant | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter