Model Predictions
| Model | UMBC Retrievers | UAlbany Great Danes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.9% | 70.1% | +4.7 | ✓ (39.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UAlbany Great Danes +44 (83-39). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K.J. Maura * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Joe Sherburne * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Jairus Lyles * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Daniel Akin * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Arkel Lamar * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jourdan Grant | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Brandon Horvath | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Nolan Gerrity | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Josh Rosario | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ishmail Jabbie | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Max Portmann | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Max Curran | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
UAlbany Great Danes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Nichols * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 20 | - |
| Travis Charles * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 29 | - |
| Devonte Campbell * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Joe Cremo * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Greig Stire * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Ahmad Clark | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Costa Anderson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Xavier Cochran | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Matt Conway | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Nick Fruscio | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter