Model Predictions
| Model | Richmond Spiders | Saint Louis Billikens | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Louis Billikens +7 (69-62). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Richmond Spiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Gilyard * | 36 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| De'Monte Buckingham * | 33 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Grant Golden * | 33 | 8-15 | 1-3 | 7-10 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 24 | 21 | - |
| Khwan Fore * | 33 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Nick Sherod * | 31 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Solly Stansbury | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Julius Johnson | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Nathan Cayo | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Joe Kirby | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Saint Louis Billikens
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davell Roby * | 40 | 3-12 | 2-6 | 7-10 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Javon Bess * | 39 | 1-10 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Jalen Johnson * | 32 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Hasahn French * | 30 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Jordan Goodwin * | 6 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| D.J. Foreman | 26 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Aaron Hines | 22 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Rashed Anthony | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter