Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Saint Louis Billikens | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.9% | 28.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 64.0% | 36.0% | -3.2 | ✗ (17.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.5% | 30.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Saint Louis Billikens +14 (69-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Stark * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 24 | - |
| Ja Morant * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 27 | - |
| S. Buchanan * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 12 | - |
| T. Miller Jr. * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Brion Sanchious * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jalen Dupree | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 16 | - |
| Anthony Smith | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Byron Hawkins | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jachai Taylor | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
Saint Louis Billikens
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Johnson * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 26 | - |
| Javon Bess * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 31 | - |
| Jordan Goodwin * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | - |
| Hasahn French * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 29 | - |
| Davell Roby * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Aaron Hines | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Markos Psimitis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter