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Model Predictions

Model St. Bonaventure Bonnies Saint Joseph's Hawks Spread Result
Elo 68.8% 31.2% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 79.3% 20.7% - ✗
Margin 67.1% 32.9% - ✗
Pythagorean 65.9% 34.1% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 89.6% 10.4% - ✗
Log Adjusted 89.8% 10.2% - ✗
Points Off/Def 65.5% 34.5% - ✗

Actual: Saint Joseph's Hawks +7 (85-78). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

St. Bonaventure Bonnies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Adams * 36 5-11 4-7 5-6 6 7 0 0 5 19 16 -2.2
Matt Mobley * 36 1-5 0-3 0-0 5 1 2 0 2 2 3 -22.4
Josh Ayeni * 29 5-13 0-0 0-0 7 3 1 0 3 10 5 -5.2
LaDarien Griffin * 26 4-6 0-0 0-0 8 0 2 1 0 8 13 -15.4
Idris Taqqee * 12 1-2 0-0 3-4 2 0 0 0 0 5 5 -2.3
Izaiah Brockington 33 6-15 3-8 1-2 4 3 0 1 0 16 9 +3.6
Courtney Stockard 23 4-8 0-1 9-9 2 2 3 0 1 17 15 +6.4
Nelson Kaputo 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.6
Amadi Ikpeze 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -4.2

Saint Joseph's Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shavar Newkirk * 39 5-11 2-6 11-14 10 5 5 0 2 23 30 +14.3
Pierfrancesco Oliva * 35 3-7 1-4 2-3 8 8 1 2 4 9 17 +9.6
James Demery * 35 8-13 2-4 6-7 1 0 1 0 2 24 11 +1.6
Chris Clover * 33 3-10 1-4 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 8 1 +18.6
Taylor Funk * 22 3-6 2-5 0-2 6 3 0 0 3 8 8 +24.5
Nicholas Robinson 19 2-5 0-2 4-4 3 1 0 1 2 8 6 -14.9
A. Longpré 17 2-5 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 5 2 -0.9

* = starter