Model Predictions
| Model | App State Mountaineers | VCU Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.9% | 84.1% | +9.2 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.9% | 85.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: VCU Rams +13 (85-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronshad Shabazz * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 22 | - |
| Justin Forrest * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Isaac Johnson * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Tyrell Johnson * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Griffin Kinney * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 18 | - |
| O'Showen Williams | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Zach Cottrell | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jake Wilson | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Bennett Holley | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Craig Hinton | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Williams * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 32 | - |
| De'Riante Jenkins * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 20 | - |
| Khris Lane * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 24 | - |
| Justin Tillman * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 24 | - |
| Xavier Jackson * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Mike'l Simms | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Sean Mobley | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Tyler Maye | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Marcus Santos-Silva | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
* = starter