Model Predictions
| Model | Lafayette Leopards | George Mason Patriots | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.0% | 79.0% | +7.3 | ✓ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: George Mason Patriots +2 (67-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Lafayette Leopards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Stafford * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Matt Klinewski * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 25 | - |
| E.J. Stephens * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Kyle Stout * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | - |
| Lukas Jarrett * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Myles Cherry | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 14 | - |
| Paulius Zalys | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Alex Petrie | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Auston Evans | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dylan Hastings | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
George Mason Patriots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaire Grayer * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 30 | - |
| Otis Livingston * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 25 | - |
| Justin Kier * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Ian Boyd * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Goanar Mar * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Javon Greene | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A.J. Wilson | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Greg Calixte | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter