Model Predictions
| Model | Duquesne Dukes | Fordham Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.5% | 30.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.4% | 30.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fordham Rams -23 (41-64). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Duquesne Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Williams Jr. * | 35 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | +19.8 |
| Rene Castro-Caneddy * | 31 | 8-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 15 | +15.4 |
| Mike Lewis II * | 30 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | +18.0 |
| Tydus Verhoeven * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +6.0 |
| Chas Brown * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +4.4 |
| Tarin Smith | 29 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12 | +6.9 |
| Jordan Robinson | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +17.8 |
| Kellon Taylor | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +7.8 |
| Eric James | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.5 |
| Marko Krivacevic | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Zach Snyder | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Caleb Davis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -0.1 |
| Nicholas Kratholm | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.2 |
Fordham Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Chartouny * | 38 | 1-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | -21.5 |
| Ivan Raut * | 30 | 3-8 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | -16.1 |
| Prokop Slanina * | 28 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | -12.9 |
| Perris Hicks * | 26 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -13.0 |
| Will Tavares * | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1.7 |
| C. Havsa | 29 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 9 | -19.1 |
| David Pekarek | 19 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -11.2 |
| Tre Evans | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -6.0 |
| Thomas Sanchez | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +0.6 |
| Brenton Petty | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.6 |
| Chris Downing | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.7 |
* = starter