Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | George Mason Patriots | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.2% | 42.8% | -1.6 | ✗ (19.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.2% | 31.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: George Mason Patriots +18 (85-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darrell Davis * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 28 | - |
| Jalen Crutcher * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Jordan Davis * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Josh Cunningham * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 22 | - |
| Trey Landers * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Kostas Antetokounmpo | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | - |
| John Crosby | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Matej Svoboda | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Xeyrius Williams | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jack Westerfield | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
George Mason Patriots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goanar Mar * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Justin Kier * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 24 | - |
| Otis Livingston * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 35 | - |
| Greg Calixte * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Jaire Grayer * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Ian Boyd | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Javon Greene | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| A.J. Wilson | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Nick Diclementi | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jack Tempchin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Zach Garrett | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter