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Dayton Flyers 84
@
VCU Rams 88
2018-02-10

Model Predictions

Model Dayton Flyers VCU Rams Spread Result
Elo 29.7% 70.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 36.9% 63.1% - ✓
Margin 30.2% 69.8% +4.6 ✓ (0.6 off)
Pythagorean 42.8% 57.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 36.0% 64.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 36.0% 64.0% - ✓
Points Off/Def 39.8% 60.2% - ✓

Actual: VCU Rams +4 (88-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Crutcher * 44 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 8 0 0 2 21 34 -
Jordan Davis * 42 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 2 0 1 19 28 -
Trey Landers * 41 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 1 1 0 1 16 28 -
Darrell Davis * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 1 7 10 12 -
Josh Cunningham * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 4 15 18 -
Matej Svoboda 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 3 -
John Crosby 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -3 -

VCU Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Issac Vann * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 3 0 1 10 20 -
Justin Tillman * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 2 2 37 45 -
De'Riante Jenkins * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 5 7 7 -
Jonathan Williams * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 5 0 0 1 8 14 -
Sean Mobley * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 4 3 0 3 8 17 -
Malik Crowfield 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 1 0 2 5 9 -
Khris Lane 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 7 14 -
Mike'l Simms 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -
Marcus Santos-Silva 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 3 1 6 11 -
Tyler Maye 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter