Model Predictions
| Model | VCU Rams | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.3% | 72.7% | +5.4 | ✓ (21.6 off) |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +27 (106-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewis Djonkam | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| De'Riante Jenkins * | 32 | 4-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Justin Tillman * | 31 | 10-16 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 23 | - |
| Jonathan Williams * | 31 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Malik Crowfield * | 25 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Issac Vann * | 19 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Sean Mobley | 21 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Mike'l Simms | 15 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Marcus Santos-Silva | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Tyler Maye | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Khris Lane | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Xavier Jackson | 2 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Crutcher * | 34 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 25 | - |
| Trey Landers * | 32 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Darrell Davis * | 31 | 9-10 | 4-5 | 6-6 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 30 | - |
| Josh Cunningham * | 31 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Jordan Davis * | 28 | 7-13 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 14 | - |
| John Crosby | 14 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Xeyrius Williams | 14 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Matej Svoboda | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jack Westerfield | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Joey Gruden | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Camron Greer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter