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2017-11-25

Model Predictions

Model Akron Zips Dayton Flyers Spread Result
Elo 24.1% 75.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 35.5% 64.5% - โœ“
Margin 13.9% 86.1% +10.0 โœ“ (3.0 off)
Pythagorean 37.9% 62.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 15.4% 84.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 15.1% 84.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 29.5% 70.5% - โœ“

Actual: Dayton Flyers +13 (73-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Akron Zips

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Daniel Utomi * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 0 0 1 19 26 -
Jimond Ivey * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 3 1 0 2 9 18 -
Emmanuel Olojakpoke * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 8 11 -
Eric Parrish 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 2 5 -
Jaden Sayles 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 -
Mark Kostelac 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Sina Gbadebo 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Lucas Smith 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh Cunningham * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 16 3 0 0 2 20 37 -
Darrell Davis * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 12 12 -
Jordan Davis * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 14 17 -
Kostas Antetokounmpo * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 2 3 12 16 -
John Crosby * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 5 0 0 3 3 10 -
Matej Svoboda 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 9 14 -
Jalen Crutcher 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 8 3 0 0 3 17 -
Joey Gruden 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jack Westerfield 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter