Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Hofstra Pride | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.7% | 60.3% | +2.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Hofstra Pride +3 (72-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darrell Davis * | 36 | 7-13 | 4-5 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Xeyrius Williams * | 33 | 4-11 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Trey Landers * | 28 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| John Crosby * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Josh Cunningham * | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Kostas Antetokounmpo | 26 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 19 | - |
| Jalen Crutcher | 23 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Matej Svoboda | 12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jordan Davis | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Hofstra Pride
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Wright-Foreman * | 40 | 6-22 | 3-12 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | -1 | - |
| Rokas Gustys * | 32 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 15 | - |
| Joel Angus * | 30 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Kenny Wormley * | 20 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Jalen Ray * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Eli Pemberton | 34 | 7-15 | 3-4 | 10-12 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 17 | - |
| Desure Buie | 20 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Matija Radovic | 13 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Hunter Sabety | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter