Model Predictions
| Model | Davidson Wildcats | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.8% | 22.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 78.3% | 21.7% | -7.1 | ✗ (8.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.8% | 15.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.0% | 15.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +1 (65-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Davidson Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton Aldridge * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 32 | - |
| Kellan Grady * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 15 | - |
| J. Gudmundsson * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 20 | - |
| KiShawn Pritchett * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Oskar Michelsen * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Will Magarity | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 26 | - |
| Rusty Reigel | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jordan Watkins | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darrell Davis * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 20 | - |
| Jalen Crutcher * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 21 | - |
| Josh Cunningham * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 22 | - |
| Jordan Davis * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Trey Landers * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 21 | - |
| Xeyrius Williams | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| John Crosby | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kostas Antetokounmpo | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter