Model Predictions
| Model | Davidson Wildcats | George Mason Patriots | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.9% | 16.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.2% | 15.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: George Mason Patriots -27 (59-86). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Davidson Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton Aldridge * | 35 | 7-14 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 15 | +24.1 |
| J. Gudmundsson * | 35 | 9-14 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 25 | +20.4 |
| Kellan Grady * | 33 | 7-13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 6 | +19.0 |
| KiShawn Pritchett * | 25 | 6-7 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 11 | +8.6 |
| Oskar Michelsen * | 19 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +4.1 |
| Rusty Reigel | 19 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | +0.6 |
| Will Magarity | 18 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | +9.3 |
| Jordan Watkins | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -0.7 |
| Carter Collins | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.3 |
| Bates Jones | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -4.0 |
| Michael Brown | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Malcolm Wynter | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.6 |
| Cal Freundlich | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.5 |
George Mason Patriots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Otis Livingston II * | 33 | 7-12 | 4-5 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 10 | -12.6 |
| Justin Kier * | 33 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -15.0 |
| Goanar Mar * | 32 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | -11.3 |
| Greg Calixte * | 29 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -15.6 |
| Jaire Grayer * | 25 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 4 | -13.1 |
| Ian Boyd | 17 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | -3.0 |
| Javon Greene | 16 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +1.6 |
| A.J. Wilson | 15 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 3 | -2.8 |
* = starter