Model Predictions
| Model | Evansville Purple Aces | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.5% | 73.5% | +5.6 | ✓ (11.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears +17 (72-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Simmons * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 17 | - |
| K.J. Riley * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 17 | - |
| Dainius Chatkevicius * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Ryan Taylor * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Noah Frederking | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| John Hall | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Evan Kuhlman | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alize Johnson * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 31 | - |
| Jarrid Rhodes * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Obediah Church * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 26 | - |
| J.T. Miller * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Mustafa Lawrence * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Jarred Dixon | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Ryan Kreklow | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Tanveer Bhullar | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Ronnie Rousseau | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter