Model Predictions
| Model | Evansville Purple Aces | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.2% | 65.8% | +3.6 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +4 (75-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Taylor * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 39 | - |
| Blake Simmons * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 17 | - |
| Dainius Chatkevicius * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 23 | - |
| K.J. Riley * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | - |
| John Hall * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Noah Frederking | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Duane Gibson | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Dalen Traore | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Evan Kuhlman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phil Fayne * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 25 | - |
| Milik Yarbrough * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 23 | - |
| Madison Williams * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Daouda N'Diaye * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 19 | - |
| Keyshawn Evans * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Matt Hein | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Taylor Bruninga | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| William Tinsley | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Elijah Clarance | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Isaac Gassman | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
* = starter