Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.9% | 71.1% | +4.9 | ✗ (20.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears -16 (60-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keyshawn Evans * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 21 | - |
| Phil Fayne * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Madison Williams * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Daouda N'Diaye * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 20 | - |
| Milik Yarbrough * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 29 | - |
| Matt Hein | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| William Tinsley | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Taylor Bruninga | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Isaac Gassman | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alize Johnson * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 23 | - |
| Jarred Dixon * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Jarrid Rhodes * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Obediah Church * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 17 | - |
| Ronnie Rousseau * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| J.T. Miller | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Ryan Kreklow | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Tanveer Bhullar | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Mustafa Lawrence | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 15 | - |
* = starter