Model Predictions
| Model | Evansville Purple Aces | Valparaiso Beacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.5% | 71.5% | +5.1 | ✗ (15.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.9% | 64.1% | +3.2 | ✗ (13.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Valparaiso Beacons -10 (65-75). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dru Smith * | 40 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 12-13 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 24 | - |
| Blake Simmons * | 38 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Ryan Taylor * | 30 | 8-19 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 11 | - |
| Dainius Chatkevicius * | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| K.J. Riley * | 22 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Noah Frederking | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| John Hall | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Dalen Traore | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Evan Kuhlman | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tevonn Walker * | 36 | 3-12 | 2-7 | 6-7 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Bakari Evelyn * | 30 | 6-17 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Max Joseph * | 25 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Derrik Smits * | 21 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Mileek McMillan * | 12 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| John Kiser | 26 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Markus Golder | 21 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Jaume Sorolla | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Micah Bradford | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Marten Linssen | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter