Model Predictions
| Model | Drake Bulldogs | Indiana State Sycamores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana State Sycamores -3 (72-75). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reed Timmer * | 33 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 8 | +6.3 |
| De'Antae McMurray * | 33 | 9-13 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 17 | +7.4 |
| C.J. Rivers * | 31 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 16 | +11.2 |
| Nick McGlynn * | 23 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 11 | +0.8 |
| Ore Arogundade * | 22 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | -4.2 |
| Graham Woodward | 23 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -0.1 |
| Casey Schlatter | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | +0.0 |
| Jalen Gibbs | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +1.2 |
| Noah Thomas | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6.2 |
| Kory Kuenstling | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4.1 |
| Connor Gholson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brenton Scott * | 36 | 8-18 | 4-8 | 5-6 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 18 | -3.7 |
| Jordan Barnes * | 36 | 5-17 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 4 | -0.6 |
| Qiydar Davis * | 28 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | -1.1 |
| Brandon Murphy * | 27 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 18 | -2.5 |
| Clayton Hughes * | 24 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -3.4 |
| Tyreke Key | 20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -5.3 |
| Demonte Ojinnaka | 16 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Emondre Rickman | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -0.8 |
* = starter