Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Iowa Panthers | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.1% | 54.9% | -0.2 | ✓ (7.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.2% | 61.8% | +2.6 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears +7 (62-55). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tywhon Pickford * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 30 | - |
| Klint Carlson * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 28 | - |
| Isaiah Brown * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Bennett Koch * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Juwan McCloud * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Spencer Haldeman | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Wyatt Lohaus | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Adam McDermott | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Austin Phyfe | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Hunter Rhodes | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ted Friedman | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Luke McDonnell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarrid Rhodes * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Alize Johnson * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 44 | - |
| Ryan Kreklow * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Jarred Dixon * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Obediah Church * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Ronnie Rousseau III | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Reggie Scurry | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | - |
| J.T. Miller | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Abdul Fofana | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
* = starter