Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Iowa Panthers | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears +7 (62-55). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tywhon Pickford * | 37 | 7-13 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 17 | -4.8 |
| Klint Carlson * | 34 | 6-15 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | -0.2 |
| Isaiah Brown * | 25 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -9.8 |
| Bennett Koch * | 20 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 10 | -8.1 |
| Juwan McCloud * | 19 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | -8.0 |
| Spencer Haldeman | 19 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +0.1 |
| Wyatt Lohaus | 18 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2.9 |
| Adam McDermott | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +14.0 |
| Austin Phyfe | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +6.3 |
| Hunter Rhodes | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +10.6 |
| Ted Friedman | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.5 |
| Luke McDonnell | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.9 |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarrid Rhodes * | 35 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | +3.3 |
| Alize Johnson * | 33 | 8-19 | 0-3 | 8-10 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 25 | +9.3 |
| Ryan Kreklow * | 24 | 1-8 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | +3.5 |
| Jarred Dixon * | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -9.6 |
| Obediah Church * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -6.1 |
| Ronnie Rousseau III | 24 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | +8.2 |
| Reggie Scurry | 20 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | +1.0 |
| J.T. Miller | 19 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | -3.4 |
| Abdul Fofana | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -0.1 |
* = starter