Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana State Sycamores | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.3% | 61.7% | +2.6 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +3 (84-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brenton Scott * | 41 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 23 | - |
| Jordan Barnes * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 17 | 22 | - |
| Clayton Hughes * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Brandon Murphy * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Qiydar Davis * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Tyreke Key | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Emondre Rickman | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Devin Thomas | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Matt Deady | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Bronson Kessinger | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Ethan Claycomb | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison Williams * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Milik Yarbrough * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 29 | 45 | - |
| Phil Fayne * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 27 | - |
| Matt Hein * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Taylor Bruninga * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 18 | - |
| William Tinsley | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Isaac Gassman | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Daouda N'Diaye | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Elijah Clarance | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter