Model Predictions
| Model | Evansville Purple Aces | Bowling Green Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.4% | 47.6% | -2.3 | ✓ (12.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 65.8% | 34.2% | -3.6 | ✓ (11.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.1% | 24.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.9% | 25.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Bowling Green Falcons -15 (76-91). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dru Smith * | 39 | 11-13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 27 | - |
| Noah Frederking * | 28 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Blake Simmons * | 23 | 6-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Dainius Chatkevicius * | 20 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Duane Gibson * | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 6 | - |
| K.J. Riley | 25 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Evan Kuhlman | 19 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Marty Hill | 15 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Dalen Traore | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| John Hall | 5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Turner * | 34 | 7-12 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Dylan Frye * | 30 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 3-5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Demajeo Wiggins * | 26 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 15 | - |
| Rodrick Caldwell * | 23 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 1-3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -5 | - |
| Derek Koch * | 19 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Nelly Cummings | 20 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Daeqwon Plowden | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Matt Fox | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Antwon Lillard | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Jeffrey Uju | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Austin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ethan Good | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter