Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | Indiana State Sycamores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.6% | 67.4% | +3.7 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.4% | 83.6% | +9.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana State Sycamores +10 (74-64). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Lyons * | 35 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Ryan Manning * | 33 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Lavelle Scottie * | 30 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Frank Toohey * | 29 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Pervis Louder * | 29 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Sid Tomes | 14 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| R. Swan | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Keaton Van Soelen | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Dane Norman | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Jacob Van | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| C.J. Siples | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Barnes * | 36 | 6-13 | 6-12 | 7-9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 17 | - |
| Brenton Scott * | 35 | 10-19 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 25 | - |
| Qiydar Davis * | 29 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Bronson Kessinger * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Brandon Murphy * | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Tyreke Key | 25 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Clayton Hughes | 16 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Emondre Rickman | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Trey Knight | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Demonte Ojinnaka | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Devin Thomas | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter