Model Predictions
| Model | Utah State Aggies | Valparaiso Beacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.5% | 64.5% | +2.7 | ✓ (4.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.3% | 57.7% | +1.7 | ✓ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Valparaiso Beacons +7 (72-65). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Merrill * | 39 | 6-16 | 3-11 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Alexis Dargenton * | 24 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Diogo Brito * | 22 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Dwayne Brown Jr. * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Abel Porter * | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| DeAngelo Isby | 28 | 2-16 | 1-10 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -4 | - |
| Daron Henson | 18 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Crew Ainge | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Klay Stall | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Quinn Taylor | 10 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tevonn Walker * | 30 | 10-17 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 19 | - |
| Bakari Evelyn * | 26 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Jaume Sorolla * | 25 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 21 | - |
| Max Joseph | 22 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| John Kiser | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Markus Golder | 16 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Derrik Smits | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Mileek McMillan | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Micah Bradford | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Marten Linssen | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
* = starter