Model Predictions
| Model | UNC Wilmington Seahawks | Valparaiso Beacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.0% | 75.0% | +6.4 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.0% | 86.0% | +10.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Valparaiso Beacons +9 (79-70). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
UNC Wilmington Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordon Talley * | 30 | 4-18 | 1-7 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | -2 | - |
| Jaylen Fornes * | 27 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 4-7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Marcus Bryan * | 26 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Devontae Cacok * | 24 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 8-12 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Ty Taylor II * | 21 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| JaQuel Richmond | 25 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Jay Estime' | 23 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Jeffrey Gary | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Nick Powell | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Trey Kalina | 5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bakari Evelyn * | 32 | 8-11 | 3-4 | 11-12 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 27 | - |
| Jaume Sorolla * | 27 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Tevonn Walker * | 24 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 10-12 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Joe Burton * | 21 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Parker Hazen * | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Markus Golder | 21 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| John Kiser | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Max Joseph | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Derrik Smits | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Micah Bradford | 10 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Mileek McMillan | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Marten Linssen | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter