Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Illinois Salukis | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.4% | 83.6% | +9.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Murray State Racers +8 (81-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Illinois Salukis
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Lloyd * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 25 | - |
| Kavion Pippen * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Aaron Cook * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 20 | - |
| Armon Fletcher * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Jonathan Wiley * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Rudy Stradnieks | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Eric McGill | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Tyler Smithpeters | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | - |
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Stark * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 38 | - |
| Ja Morant * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 16 | - |
| T. Miller Jr. * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 25 | - |
| S. Buchanan * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 21 | - |
| Brion Sanchious * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Anthony Smith | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Byron Hawkins | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Jalen Dupree | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jachai Taylor | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter