Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Indiana State Sycamores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.0% | 54.0% | -0.4 | ✗ (7.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.7% | 73.3% | +5.5 | ✗ (13.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana State Sycamores -8 (85-93). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jontrell Walker * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Tayler Persons * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Francis Kiapway * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Kyle Mallers * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Tahjai Teague * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Sean Sellers | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 20 | - |
| Trey Moses | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Zach Gunn | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Ishmael El-Amin | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Barnes * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 30 | - |
| Qiydar Davis * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 29 | - |
| Brenton Scott * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Brandon Murphy * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Devin Thomas * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Clayton Hughes | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Tyreke Key | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Bronson Kessinger | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Emondre Rickman | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Demonte Ojinnaka | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Trey Knight | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter