Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Evansville Purple Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.3% | 89.7% | +11.9 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.0% | 92.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.1% | 91.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Evansville Purple Aces +14 (77-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rashad Lindsey * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Ty Cockfield * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 21 | - |
| Connor Kern * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Tamas Bruce * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 18 | - |
| Tristin Walley * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Grantham Gillard | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Marquis Eaton | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Jake Scoggins | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Christian Willis | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C.J. Foster | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Shaquillo Fritz | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Simmons * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Ryan Taylor * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 31 | - |
| Duane Gibson * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Dalen Traore * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Dainius Chatkevicius | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 20 | - |
| Solomon Hainna | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - |
| K.J. Riley | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Noah Frederking | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| John Hall | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter