Model Predictions
| Model | Western Illinois Leathernecks | Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oral Roberts Golden Eagles +15 (81-66). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Western Illinois Leathernecks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalan Ancrum * | 39 | 9-16 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 12 | -6.9 |
| Kobe Webster * | 38 | 6-14 | 4-11 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 12 | -2.9 |
| Brandon Gilbeck * | 36 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 15 | -5.3 |
| C.J. Duff * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -6.5 |
| Jeremiah Usiosefe * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.2 |
| Charles Gavin | 26 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Delo Bruster | 21 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -1 | -5.7 |
| Jalen Morgan | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -2.0 |
| Isaac Johnson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +5.4 |
| Jordan Hughes | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +5.9 |
Oral Roberts Golden Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Kearns * | 37 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | +3.4 |
| Emmanuel Nzekwesi * | 36 | 8-18 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 14 | +3.8 |
| R.J. Fuqua * | 36 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 15 | +9.2 |
| Javan White * | 30 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 15 | +0.4 |
| Chris Miller * | 11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | -0.7 |
| Albert Owens | 27 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 8 | +4.9 |
| Jontray Harris | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2.5 |
| Spencer Sutton | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -4.1 |
| Emir Ahmedic | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -2.0 |
* = starter