Model Predictions
| Model | Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | Denver Pioneers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.4% | 31.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.3% | 18.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.3% | 18.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Pioneers -19 (63-82). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Konchar * | 34 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 23 | +16.8 |
| Kason Harrell * | 32 | 7-12 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 6 | +14.1 |
| Bryson Scott * | 29 | 6-17 | 1-8 | 7-7 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 12 | +18.1 |
| Jax Levitch * | 28 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | +14.2 |
| Xzavier Taylor * | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +8.4 |
| Matt Weir | 22 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | +4.5 |
| Dylan Carl | 19 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | +3.1 |
| Jordon King | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +2.9 |
| Cameron Benford | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +5.3 |
| Jairus Stevens | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jordan Coblin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
| Chris Rollins | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Denver Pioneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Pemberton * | 31 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | -10.1 |
| Joe Rosga * | 30 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 15 | -12.6 |
| Daniel Amigo * | 25 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 6 | -15.1 |
| Ade Murkey * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -16.5 |
| Jake Krafka * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | -14.3 |
| Donoven Carlisle | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -3.4 |
| Jake Holtzmann | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +1.6 |
| Elvin Rodriguez | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -7.4 |
| Luke Neff | 10 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -7.7 |
| Thomas Neff | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -6.3 |
| Christian Mackey | 8 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | -2.2 |
| Abiola Akintola | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.7 |
| Emil Knighton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
* = starter