Model Predictions
| Model | North Dakota State Bison | South Dakota Coyotes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: South Dakota Coyotes -5 (79-84). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
North Dakota State Bison
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Hunter * | 38 | 9-12 | 5-5 | 12-14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 35 | 25 | - |
| Paul Miller * | 35 | 9-16 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 18 | - |
| Spencer Eliason * | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Tyson Ward * | 23 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| A.J. Jacobson * | 22 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Deng Geu | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Chris Quayle | 15 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Rocky Kreuser | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jared Samuelson | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dylan Miller | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
South Dakota Coyotes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Peterson * | 35 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Trey Burch-Manning * | 33 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Matt Mooney * | 33 | 8-20 | 5-13 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 9 | - |
| Triston Simpson * | 32 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Tyler Hagedorn * | 20 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Brandon Armstrong | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dan Jech | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Nick Fuller | 14 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | - |
* = starter