Model Predictions
| Model | UNC Wilmington Seahawks | North Dakota State Bison | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.5% | 81.5% | +8.2 | ✓ (28.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Dakota State Bison +37 (100-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNC Wilmington Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Fornes * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 21 | - |
| Ty Taylor * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Marcus Bryan * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Jordon Talley * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Devontae Cacok * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Jeffrey Gary | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Jay Estime' | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Nick Powell | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jacque Brown | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Trey Kalina | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Daniel Etoroma | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
North Dakota State Bison
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyson Ward * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 23 | - |
| Cameron Hunter * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Paul Miller * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 21 | - |
| A.J. Jacobson * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Spencer Eliason * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jared Samuelson | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Deng Geu | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 23 | - |
| Dylan Miller | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Chris Quayle | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Rocky Kreuser | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
* = starter