Model Predictions
| Model | American University Eagles | Western Illinois Leathernecks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.0% | 73.0% | +5.5 | ✓ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Western Illinois Leathernecks +13 (69-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sa'eed Nelson * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Laurynas Motuzis * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 21 | - |
| Sam Iorio * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 28 | - |
| Cheikh Diallo * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Jesse Little * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 19 | - |
| Matt Cimino | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Drew LaMont | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nick Macarchuk | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Western Illinois Leathernecks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. Duff * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Brandon Gilbeck * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 32 | - |
| Jeremiah Usiosefe * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Dalan Ancrum * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 7 | - |
| De'Angelo Bruster | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Charles Gavin | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Lynrick Moxey | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jalen Morgan | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Isaac Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter