Model Predictions
| Model | South Dakota Coyotes | Bowling Green Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 85.2% | 14.8% | -9.6 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.6% | 11.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.7% | 11.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.4% | 30.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Bowling Green Falcons -9 (79-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
South Dakota Coyotes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Mooney * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 36 | - |
| Triston Simpson * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 19 | - |
| Carlton Hurst * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 24 | - |
| Trey Burch-Manning * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Tyler Hagedorn * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 22 | - |
| Nick Fuller | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 19 | - |
| Tyler Peterson | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Dan Jech | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Brandon Armstrong | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Austin Sparks | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Frye * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 31 | - |
| Rodrick Caldwell * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Derek Koch * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 33 | - |
| Justin Turner * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Demajeo Wiggins * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Nelly Cummings | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Daeqwon Plowden | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Matt Fox | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Jeffrey Uju | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Joniya Gadson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter