Model Predictions
| Model | Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | Incarnate Word Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 92.7% | 7.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 94.0% | 6.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 96.0% | 4.0% | -17.5 | ✓ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 83.9% | 16.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.1% | 4.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.1% | 4.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 82.0% | 18.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Incarnate Word Cardinals -11 (70-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Gilmore III * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 36 | - |
| Kevon Harris * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 22 | - |
| Aaron Augustin * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | - |
| Ty Charles * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| T.J. Holyfield * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Shannon Bogues | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Samuli Nieminen | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -1 | - |
| John Comeaux | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - |
| Nathan Bain | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
Incarnate Word Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Johnson * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 36 | - |
| Charles Brown * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Devin Wyatt * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Cody Graham * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Sam Burmeister | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Augustine Ene | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Christian Peevy | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Simi Socks | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Myles Thornton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter